DISCOVER THE UCL KNOCKOUT BRACKET: WHO ARSENAL AND LIVERPOOL ARE LIKELY TO FACE
Chaos looms as 18 matches decide the UCL Round of 16. Projections for Newcastle, Chelsea, and Tottenham’s big night.
The Champions League table is hanging by a thread, and Wednesday night promises chaos. Every team—36 in total—has just one game left to play before the knockout rounds come into focus.
All 18 matches start at 8pm sharp on Wednesday. Six Premier League clubs are still in the mix, and five of them are sitting pretty in the top eight.
If you finish in the top eight, you get seeded and go straight to the round of 16. Land anywhere from ninth to 24th, though, and you have to slog through a two-legged play-off. Arsenal are basically locked in at the top thanks to their insane goal difference. Liverpool and Tottenham just need to handle their business—beat Qarabag and Eintracht Frankfurt—and they’re through.
Newcastle, Chelsea, and Manchester City still have work to do. And because of the new Champions League draw, we already have a decent idea who each team might face—even though everything could change on the night.
Right now, Man City are 11th, making them the only English side not automatically through. Our projections have them facing either Monaco or PSV in the play-off.
If City win that, their reward is a tie with either Spurs or PSG in the last 16. Not exactly a walk in the park.
Spurs, if they avoid City, look set to play Monaco, PSV, or Atletico Madrid in their opener.
Arsenal’s reward for topping the group? A last-16 showdown with one of Galatasaray, Qarabag, Juventus, or Borussia Dortmund.
Liverpool, sitting fourth, is on track to meet Atalanta, Inter Milan, Marseille, or Bayer Leverkusen.
Newcastle, currently seventh, could run into Barcelona if they keep their spot. Other possible opponents: Sporting CP, Athletic Club, or Olympiacos.
Chelsea are eighth, so they’re pulling from the same pool as Newcastle.
The way the draw pans out, Arsenal could meet Newcastle or Chelsea in the quarters. You might even get an all-English quarter-final. Or Barcelona could be waiting.
Liverpool—six-time champs—could end up facing Man City or Spurs in the quarter-finals, or maybe PSG or Atletico. Nothing’s set in stone, but with just one game left for everyone, the table could flip fast.
Arsenal looks locked into second overall. Liverpool probably can’t get higher than third, thanks to goal difference.
Tottenham’s best hope is third. Newcastle and Chelsea have to avoid losing—Newcastle at PSG, Chelsea at Napoli—to stay in the top eight. City needs to beat Galatasaray at home and hope a few results go their way.
One last twist: topping the league phase didn’t help Liverpool last season—they got PSG in the last 16 and bowed out early. But this time, if Arsenal finish top, they’ll get home advantage in the second leg of every knockout tie. That could make all the difference.
MARTIN ODEGAARD AND KAI HAVERTZ MISS FINAL TRAINING; CHAMPIONS LEAGUE HOPES FADING
Arsenal's Champions League hopes are in doubt as Martin Odegaard and Kai Havertz miss final training ahead of the Atletico tie.
Martin Odegaard and Kai Havertz didn’t show up for Arsenal’s open training on Monday, just a day before the crucial Champions League semi-final second leg against Atletico Madrid. Both missed Saturday’s comfortable 3-0 win over Fulham because of injuries: Odegaard with his knee and Havertz with a muscular problem.
Odegaard hurt his knee in last week’s draw with Atletico, while Havertz hasn’t played since picking up an issue against Newcastle. After beating Fulham, Mikel Arteta sounded confident they’d be ready for Atletico, but on Monday neither player was seen with the first team. That’s a big hint they won’t be involved at the Emirates.
Arteta is set to speak to the media soon, though don’t expect him to spill much; he’s known for keeping his cards close to his chest when it comes to team news.
There were a couple more missing faces at London Colney. Jurrien Timber (groin) and Mikel Merino (foot) were also absent. Timber hasn’t featured since before the international break, and it’s unclear when he’ll return, but Arsenal hope it’s before the end of the season. Merino’s been out nearly three months since foot surgery. He might not play again this month.
On the upside, Bukayo Saka was back in training after getting subbed at halftime against Fulham, where he started his first Premier League game since mid-March.
Now, Arsenal really have a headache. Odegaard, who scored 15 goals last season, just hasn’t looked the same. Staff are increasingly worried about him; he’s missed 25 games in all competitions this year, thanks to a pileup of injuries: two freak shoulder issues, two muscular injuries, and the recurring knee problem. When he’s fit, Odegaard can still make magic happen; just look at his four assists across six games in January, but right now, his body keeps letting him down.
Havertz’s story isn’t much brighter. He’s managed only 20 appearances this season, mostly because of a serious knee injury in the summer and more muscle problems afterward. He’s Arsenal’s top earner at £280,000 a week, while Odegaard sits fourth at £240,000. Having two high-paid players sidelined so often is not ideal, and Arsenal need answers.
To try to sort out this ongoing injury crisis, Arteta has reportedly brought in a trusted expert from the medical field to lead an investigation. Arsenal hope this move finally sheds some light on their troubled injury record.
DECLAN RICE ACCUSES REFEREE OF CRUMBLING UNDER PRESSURE IN MADRID PENALTY DRAMA
Arsenal head to the Emirates with a 1-1 draw, but Declan Rice is fuming over the officiating standards in the Champions League.
Declan Rice didn’t hold back after Arsenal’s 1-1 draw in Madrid, backing Mikel Arteta’s outrage and insisting the team deserved a “clear” penalty. He even went so far as to say that Atlético Madrid’s fans pushed the referee, Danny Makkelie, into changing his mind.
Arteta was livid. Late in the first leg of the Champions League semifinal, Makkelie first pointed to the spot for Arsenal after Eberechi Eze went down. But surrounded by Diego Simeone’s wild sideline antics and the roar of 70,000 Atleti supporters, Makkelie stared at the replay 13 times, then flipped his call and waved play on.
Looking back on it, Rice couldn’t believe it. “It’s a clear penalty,” he said. “I don't know how that's not been given. I think the fans got to him and changed his mind. UEFA is just a different world. In both boxes, you have to be so careful because referees call everything.”
Arsenal ran into trouble with VAR twice. First, the ref ruled Ben White handled a Llorente volley, and Julián Álvarez buried the resulting penalty, cancelling out Viktor Gyökeres’ earlier spot-kick. Rice felt for White. Talking with Stan Sport, he said, “If that happens in the Premier League, it doesn’t get given. The ball’s hardly off the ground, and it’s not even on target. But in the Champions League, the refs make these snap calls and whistle for everything. It’s just more strict. But whatever, we move on. We want to beat them next week.”
Despite the drama, Arsenal is still in a solid spot. They’ll head back to London, hoping the home crowd can push them into their first Champions League final since 2006. Bukayo Saka, freshly back from an Achilles injury, is counting on it. “We’d have liked to win, but we’ll take the draw. It’s halftime, and we’re full of confidence going back to the Emirates,” he said. “I’m sure the atmosphere will be even bigger, and that will give us a real boost.”
Before that return leg, Arsenal face Fulham at home on Saturday. They could put more heat on Manchester City by stretching their Premier League lead, though City still has games in hand and plays Everton next. The race is on.