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78TH MINUTE MAGIC: HOW MOISES CAICEDO SAVED CHELSEA’S TOP-EIGHT UCL QUALIFICATION HOPES

Moises Caicedo’s 78th-minute header earns Chelsea a 1-0 win over Pafos, moving the Blues into the Champions League top eight.

78th minute magic: How Moises Caicedo saved Chelsea’s top-eight UCL qualification hopes
Caicedo strikes late as Blues eye top eight.

Moises Caicedo popped up late to grab a huge goal for Chelsea, sealing a 1-0 win over Pafos and pushing the Blues a step closer to the Champions League last 16.

So, next week in Naples, everything’s on the line for Chelsea. Liam Rosenior, making his Champions League managerial debut, led his team to a narrow win at Stamford Bridge, thanks to Caicedo’s header in the 78th minute. Fofana got a touch on the corner, and Caicedo steered the ball into the bottom corner — job done.

Rosenior shuffled his squad after beating Brentford at the weekend, changing six players. The big news? Cole Palmer didn’t even make the bench. He played the full match on Saturday but felt a bit of tightness in his thigh, so the staff decided not to risk him. Rosenior expects Palmer back for Sunday’s game at Crystal Palace.

Both teams started slowly. Reece James had the first real look, but his shot from the edge of the box just missed. Enzo Fernandez thought he’d opened the scoring with a header, but the ref called it back for a push.

Pafos actually had the best first-half chance. Jaja’s shot took a deflection off James and hit the post, and Pafos wanted a penalty for handball. The referee didn’t hesitate — play on.

Caicedo nearly scored in 35 minutes, but Jay Gorter made a sharp save. Right before halftime, Jorrel Hato tested Gorter again, but the keeper stood firm. The first half ended without a goal.

Chelsea pushed after the break. Garnacho had a golden chance after Fofana played him in, but Luckassen threw himself in front of the shot. Estevao Willian, who came on at halftime, created a couple of good chances, but couldn’t finish.

It all came down to Caicedo, who finally broke the deadlock with 12 minutes left. Fofana leapt high, flicked the ball on, and Caicedo guided his header perfectly into the net.

Now Chelsea sit inside the top eight on goal difference, just ahead of Barcelona, who have the same points. It’s all set for a tense finish next week in Naples.

LEAGUE UPDATE: MAN UNITED’S CHAMPIONS LEAGUE HOPES BOOSTED BY COEFFICIENT POINTS SURGE

Manchester United move into fourth place as England's dominant UEFA coefficient makes a fifth Champions League spot almost certain.

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Confirmed: Fifth place in PL likely to earn UCL qualification this season

Manchester United just got a real shot in the arm for their Champions League hopes this season. After knocking off Manchester City and Arsenal in back-to-back games, they’ve climbed into fourth place in the Premier League. It’s been a struggle for United to make the Champions League in recent years—their last run was in the 2023/24 season.

These days, finishing in the top four isn’t always enough for Premier League teams. UEFA now hands out extra spots, and it all depends on how clubs from each country perform across the Champions League, Europa League, and Conference League.

So, how does it work? UEFA takes each league’s overall coefficient score—basically, a measure of how well their teams do in Europe—and divides it by the number of clubs they have in these competitions.

This season, Arsenal, Liverpool, Tottenham, Chelsea, Manchester City, and Newcastle all joined the European fight. Out of those six, only Newcastle had to go through the play-offs; the rest sailed straight into the knockouts.

Now that the Champions League group stage is done, you can really see which countries are in line for those bonus spots next year. Right now, England is out in front with 180,625 points. Germany follows with 107,000. Portugal sits in third with 14,700, and Spain is just behind on 14,375.

Here’s the key thing: the two countries whose teams rack up the best results across all three competitions this season each get a European Performance Spot—an extra Champions League place.

With England leading the pack, even a fifth-place finish in the Premier League could send United back into the Champions League instead of the Europa League. Newcastle took advantage of this last season.

If United hold onto fourth, they’re in. But there’s still a lot of football left. Interim boss Michael Carrick isn’t letting anyone get ahead of themselves—he’s already told his players to stay sharp.

Next up, United face Fulham at Old Trafford. They'll be chasing a third straight win and looking to keep Carrick’s perfect record going since he stepped in for Darren Fletcher.

JUST IN: PEP GUARDIOLA THANKS JOSE MOURINHO AFTER WILD NIGHT OF EUROPEAN DRAMA

Pep Guardiola thanks Jose Mourinho as Benfica’s last-gasp winner against Real Madrid sends City straight into the Last-16.

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Pep Guardiola’s oldest rival just saved City’s season

Pep Guardiola had a smile on his face and a message for Jose Mourinho after his old rival did him a huge favour, helping Manchester City sneak into the Champions League knockout rounds.

City took care of their own business, beating Galatasaray 2-0 at the Etihad. Haaland and Cherki got the goals, but the real drama was happening elsewhere. City’s spot in the last eight still hung in the balance because Real Madrid needed to equalise against Benfica. If they had, Guardiola’s squad would have been bumped into the play-offs instead.

That’s when Benfica’s goalkeeper, Anatoliy Trubin, pulled off something wild. He left his box, charged forward for a late free kick, and scored a brilliant goal. Benfica won 4-2. That goal kept Benfica alive in the competition—and, as it turned out, saved City too.

Guardiola admitted he and his players were glued to the screen in the dressing room, completely confused when they saw Trubin running up for that last free kick. “We were all in there, watching, and none of us realised Benfica still needed a goal to qualify,” Guardiola said. “So when their keeper went up, we’re all thinking, ‘What are you doing?’ But Jose knew. It was a smart move. Finishing in the top eight, with how tough the Champions League has become, feels really good for us. Now we can focus on being at our best by March.”

Bernardo Silva didn’t hide how relieved he felt. Skipping those extra play-off games really matters, especially when you’re chasing a quadruple. “A bit of drama, but we did it. We’re very happy because we avoid two more matches,” he said. “With all the injuries we’ve got and the crazy schedule, having those two weeks free to rest, get players back, and focus on the other competitions is huge for us.”

As for Mourinho, he looked proud after Benfica’s wild finish. He’s won this tournament twice before, and he believed his side deserved to stay in. “That was a fantastic goal, a historic moment—almost blew the roof off the stadium,” Mourinho said. “Honestly, for Benfica to beat Real Madrid, that’s massive.”

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