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WHY ARYNA SABALENKA’S CLINICAL DEMOLITION OF MUCHOVA MAKES HER THE MELBOURNE FAVORITE
Aryna Sabalenka beats Muchova to reach her third straight Brisbane final. She faces giant-killer Marta Kostyuk for the 2026 title.
Aryna Sabalenka powered past Karolina Muchova in straight sets on Saturday, booking her spot in the Brisbane International final for the third year in a row—just a week out from the Australian Open.
Sabalenka looked sharp. Muchova, who’s had the upper hand in their last three matches and actually holds a winning record against the world number one, came in as a real threat. But Sabalenka didn’t care about history. She broke Muchova once in each set, kept her foot on the gas, and closed out the semifinal 6-3, 6-4 in 89 minutes. Now, she’ll face Ukraine’s Marta Kostyuk in Sunday’s final.
On the men’s side, Daniil Medvedev, the former world number one, gets unseeded American Brandon Nakashima in the final.
“I’ve struggled against her before,” Sabalenka said about Muchova. “But today, I stayed focused from the start, played some great tennis, put her under pressure, and I’m happy to get it done in straight sets.”
The 27-year-old from Belarus feels her game is clicking more with every match in Brisbane—she hasn’t dropped a set yet. With seven of the world’s top ten in the draw, she says this is perfect prep for Melbourne, where the Australian Open starts January 18. Sabalenka’s eyeing her third Australian Open title in four years.
“Honestly, compared to my first match here, I can feel my level going up,” she said. “That’s huge before Melbourne. It’s about building form, playing tough matches, and getting ready for what’s next. I’m really happy with how it’s going and can’t wait for the final.”
Kostyuk, ranked 26th, absolutely steamrolled world number six Jessica Pegula, 6-0, 6-3, in just 55 minutes—a masterclass in power and aggression. That’s three top-ten wins in a row for her. Before Pegula, she took out world number three Amanda Anisimova in the third round, then ninth-ranked Mirra Andreeva in the quarters.
“Today was just one of those days where everything goes right,” Kostyuk said, grinning. “Honestly, I haven’t had many matches like this, especially against top-10 players. It’s a huge bonus, especially in these tough Brisbane conditions—hot and humid.”
Kostyuk has never beaten Sabalenka in four tries, but she’s not feeling the pressure.
“All the pressure’s on her. I just want to go out, play well, and give the crowd a good show,” she said. “I’ve got nothing to lose.”
In the men’s semifinals, Medvedev beat American Alex Michelsen 6-4, 6-2, and Nakashima knocked out another American, Aleksandar Kovacevic, 7-6 (7/4), 6-4.
DOHA DISASTER: IGA SWIATEK AND ELENA RYBAKINA BOTH CRASH OUT IN QUARTER-FINAL SHOCKERS
Massive upsets in Doha! Maria Sakkari stuns Iga Swiatek while teen Victoria Mboko takes down Rybakina. Read the full analysis.
World number two Iga Swiatek and Australian Open champ Elena Rybakina both made early exits from the Qatar Open on February 12, falling in the quarter-finals to Maria Sakkari and Victoria Mboko.
Swiatek, the top seed and defending champ, started strong; she broke Sakkari twice in the first set and looked on track for another easy win. But Sakkari, who’s had a tough stretch lately, dug in. She fought back, grabbing a tense 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 win. Afterward, Sakkari admitted, “It’s been a while since I had a big win like today.” She used to be ranked as high as No. 3 in the world back in 2022 but has slipped all the way down to 52. “When you drop in the rankings and you’re not playing good tennis, you start doubting yourself. You think you’re never going to beat those players again,” she said. “So it’s a huge process you have to go through in your head that you can do it.”
Sakkari, 30, had beaten Swiatek three times earlier in their careers, but not since 2021. Swiatek had won their last four matches, including a straight-sets victory in Qatar last year. “Last year, in the second round here against her, I was not confident; I was not believing in myself, and this year it’s different. I feel a lot better,” Sakkari said. She’ll now play either Karolina Muchova or Anna Kalinskaya in the semi-finals. “I’ve missed that feeling of going deep into tournaments.”
Swiatek, who dominated this event in 2022, 2023, and 2024, looked ready to do it again. But after dropping the first set, Sakkari found something extra. She broke early in the second set, and even though Swiatek kept responding, Sakkari steadied herself, broke again, and took the set. For the first time in their seven matches, they went to a deciding set. It was back-and-forth—Swiatek saved a match point, but Sakkari served out the win, finally sealing it on her third chance. The match lasted just under two and a half hours.
Right after that, Victoria Mboko kept her hot streak going. She beat Rybakina 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 in a match that was only six minutes shorter than the Sakkari-Swiatek battle. Mboko had already beaten Rybakina once this year, in the Montreal semi-finals, and she came out swinging again, breaking Rybakina’s serve three times in the first set. She dropped her own serve twice but still took the set. Rybakina bounced back to grab the second, but the 19-year-old Canadian had the edge in the third and closed it out 6-4.
Mboko, who lost to world number one Aryna Sabalenka in Melbourne a few weeks ago, now faces Jelena Ostapenko in the Doha semis. Ostapenko, the 2017 French Open champ and last year’s runner-up, made it through by beating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 7-5, 6-4.
ELITE CLUB: SEBASTIAN KORDA HITS 150 ATP WINS TO JOIN CARLOS ALCARAZ AND JANNIK SINNER
Sebastian Korda secures his 150th ATP win in Dallas. Discover the six stars born after 2000 who are chasing Sinner and Alcaraz.
Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner are still running the show on the ATP Tour, but they’re not the only young guns making waves. Four other players born after 2000 have now reached 150 career wins, joining the exclusive club right behind the top two.
Sinner leads the pack with a massive 326 ATP wins, leaving Alcaraz in second with 287. These two haven’t just piled up the numbers, either—they’ve basically owned the Grand Slams lately, splitting the last nine majors between them.
Even so, this generation isn’t just a two-man race. Sebastian Korda made headlines at the Dallas Open by picking up his 150th ATP win against Michael Zheng. That puts him in the same bracket as Alcaraz and Sinner. Felix Auger-Aliassime sits just behind the top two with 270 wins, then comes Lorenzo Musetti at 184 and Holger Rune with 175.
Let’s be honest right now, Alcaraz and Sinner are still the players everyone’s chasing. But with both of them sitting out this week, the door’s wide open for someone else to step up. Korda, Taylor Fritz, and Ben Shelton are all battling it out at a Dallas Open packed with American talent. Meanwhile, Alex de Minaur and Auger-Aliassime are among the big names at the Rotterdam Open.
Take a look at the last nine Grand Slam winners, and it’s pretty much a Sinner-Alcaraz highlight reel:
Australian Open: 2024 Sinner, 2025 Sinner, 2026 Alcaraz
French Open: 2024 Alcaraz, 2025 Alcaraz
Wimbledon: 2024 Alcaraz, 2025 Sinner
US Open: 2024 Sinner, 2025 Alcaraz
Of course, there’s always hope that players like Rune and Jack Draper can mix things up, but Rune’s currently injured, and Draper’s just getting back after a long layoff. Then you have rising talents like Learner Tien and Joao Fonseca, both recent Next Gen ATP Finals champs, just like Alcaraz and Sinner were earlier in their careers, who might be the next to challenge the big two. The race is on, but for now, Alcaraz and Sinner are still setting the pace.
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