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THREE-WAY FIGHT: MAX VERSTAPPEN MUST WIN, OSCAR PIASTRI NEEDS BIG LANDO NORRIS DROP

F1 goes down to the wire! Norris leads Verstappen by 12 points. Analysis of what Norris (podium = win), Verstappen (must win), and Piastri (top two finish) need in Abu Dhabi.

Three-Way Fight: Max Verstappen Must Win, Oscar Piastri Needs Big Lando Norris Drop
What Each Driver Needs to Win F1 Abu Dhabi Final

The Qatar Grand Prix really mixed things up; now the 2025 world championship is a three-way fight.

After Max Verstappen's unexpected seventh win this season, he, Lando Norris of McLaren, and Oscar Piastri could all win the title at the Abu Dhabi finale next weekend.

Norris is in the lead with 408 points, 12 points ahead of Verstappen, and Piastri is 16 points behind his teammate.

With 25 points at stake in Abu Dhabi, what does each driver need to do to become an F1 world champion?

Norris's Path to Victory

Even though he had a disappointing fourth-place finish in Qatar, Norris is still in the best spot to win the title and his first world championship.

Basically, if Norris gets on the podium, he'll be the 11th world champion from Britain, no matter where the others end up.

If Norris finishes fourth, he wins the championship if Verstappen doesn't win. He also wins if he finishes within 12 points of Verstappen and 16 of Piastri.

If there's a tie, Norris wins because he can't be beaten in any tie-breaker.

The top three drivers each have seven wins this season, so the championship will be decided by who has the most second-place finishes. Norris has eight, Verstappen has five, and Piastri has four, so Norris would win.

Verstappen's Path to Victory

For Verstappen to win the title, he needs to win in Abu Dhabi and have Norris finish fourth or lower.

Even if he doesn't win, Verstappen needs to score at least 13 points more than Norris and not lose more than five points to Piastri to win his fifth world championship.

This year is the first since 2010 where more than two drivers are in contention for the world championship at the final race.

Back in 2010, Sebastian Vettel was the last driver to win the championship after not leading going into the final race.

Vettel was third heading to Abu Dhabi but overcame a 15-point deficit to win his first of four titles in a row.

Verstappen might look to Vettel for motivation as he tries to pull off an epic title comeback.

Piastri's Path to Victory

Piastri might be a bit down after McLaren missed out on a likely win in Qatar.

The Aussie needs to finish in the top two to have any shot at winning his first F1 world championship.

Even if he wins, Piastri needs his teammate Norris to finish sixth or lower. If Piastri finishes second, Norris needs to finish 10th or lower, and Verstappen can't finish higher than fourth.

That last situation would mean someone else, like a Mercedes or Ferrari driver, would need to win.

THE 2026 ULTIMATUM: WHY NEXT SEASON IS "MAKE OR BREAK" FOR LEWIS HAMILTON

After a winless 2025 debut, Lewis Hamilton faces a pivotal year. See why Steiner believes the 7x champ is nearing the F1 exit.

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Hamilton’s exit clock is ticking

Guenther Steiner, who used to run the Haas team, thinks Lewis Hamilton might quit Formula 1 if Ferrari can't get to the top of the Driver's Championship by 2026—he thinks that season will be super important for the racing star.

Hamilton had a tough first year with Ferrari, ending up sixth in the F1 rankings with 156 points.

That was 86 points behind his teammate, Charles Leclerc, and he didn't even get on the podium once, which is a first for him in a full season.

He often said he was bummed out about how his Ferrari debut was going.

Back in November, after the Las Vegas Grand Prix, he told Sky Sports, I feel awful. This has been the worst season ever, and it just keeps getting worse no matter how hard I try. I'm trying everything I can, both in and out of the car.

Hamilton looked pretty sad a lot during the season because he couldn't really fight for race wins.

Steiner told Sports Krone, I think if Ferrari has a good car next season, Hamilton might be able to turn things around. If they are more competitive, Lewis might find his drive again. But if things stay the same, next season will probably be his last in Formula 1. He's not going to go through that again. The situation is tough for him, and you could see that in every interview. So, the next season will be key for him.

What's Hamilton saying about quitting?

When the media asks Hamilton about his F1 future, he doesn't want to talk about retiring.

At the end of the season, when someone asked him what he would say to those who think he might retire soon, the 40-year-old said, I wouldn't say anything to them. None of them have done what I've done, so they don't know anything more than I do.

Last summer, after some rumors that he might leave early, Hamilton said he's staying at Ferrari until his contract is up.

He said, For those writing stories about me thinking about not racing, I've just started here with Ferrari. I've been here for a few years, and I'm in it for the long run, so there's no question about what I'm focused on achieving with this team. There are zero doubts, so please stop making stuff up.

In 2026, everyone will still be wondering about Hamilton's future in F1, mainly if Ferrari keeps struggling with the new rules. And if Steiner is right, another year of not competing for a championship could be the end for him.

MAX VERSTAPPEN NAMED PEER-VOTED DRIVER OF THE YEAR FOR FIFTH CONSECUTIVE SEASON

Max Verstappen wins his 5th straight F1 peer award, beating champion Lando Norris. Lewis Hamilton drops out of the top 10 for the first time.

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Verstappen Wins Fifth Straight Peer Award

Max Verstappen copped his fifth straight driver-of-the-year award in Formula 1's secret peer vote, even though he almost grabbed a fifth title in 2025 but didn't quite make it.

The drivers all voted in secret, except for four guys. The Red Bull driver beat out Lando Norris, who just won the world championship, for the number one spot.

The voting worked like the normal F1 points system. Drivers ranked their top 10 rivals. Verstappen got 25 points from six votes to win.

Norris, who won his first championship after a crazy season, came in second in the driver rankings for the second year running.

The McLaren driver won the title after fighting off pressure from Verstappen and his teammate, Oscar Piastri, all season long.

George Russell took third, moving up one spot from last year. The Mercedes driver had a killer season with two wins and seven more podiums.

Piastri was fourth, up one spot, even though his championship hopes fizzled out near the end. The Aussie was leading by 34 points at one point before his performance dropped off.

Charles Leclerc finished fifth, down two spots, even though he got everything he could out of Ferrari's SF-25. The Monegasque driver had seven podiums during a tough season that saw Ferrari finish fourth.

Carlos Sainz held onto sixth after a great comeback at Williams. After a rough start, the Spaniard grabbed two podiums in a strong second half of the season.

Fernando Alonso jumped two spots to seventh, and the two-time world champion had some crazy drives in Aston Martin's AMR25.

Alex Albon took eighth after his best season with Williams, while rookies Oliver Bearman and Isack Hadjar rounded out the top 10, getting props for their awesome first seasons.

Pierre Gasly almost made the list, even with 10 Q3 appearances in Alpine's tricky A525.

Lewis Hamilton, who's won seven world championships, didn't show up in the rankings, which is a first since they started doing this poll. It shows how rough his first season at Ferrari was.

The four drivers who skipped the vote were Hamilton, Nico Hulkenberg, Lance Stroll, and Yuki Tsunoda.

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