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UCL SEEDING CHAOS: WHY PSG FINISHING 11TH AND NEWCASTLE 12TH CHANGES THE ENTIRE BRACKET
PSG and Newcastle are forced into the playoffs after a 1-1 draw at the Parc des Princes proves useless for both sides.
UEFA didn’t really earn it, but the last night of the Champions League group stage still delivered chaos—mostly because of those annoying safety nets.
On one side, you had Jose Mourinho’s Benfica knocking out Real Madrid 4-2. Their goalkeeper scored in the 98th minute, stealing the last playoff spot and leaving Marseille heartbroken. Meanwhile, PSG and Newcastle were locked in a wild back-and-forth. Both teams hovered right around the cutoff zone for automatic qualification—the top eight.
In the end, both missed out. Sporting and Chelsea scored late winners somewhere else, shuffling the table and leaving PSG and Newcastle on the outside looking in.
For a good chunk of the second half, though, it looked like PSG’s 1-1 draw would be enough. They clung to eighth place, just barely edging out Newcastle thanks to a tiebreaker.
That shaped the entire second half. Newcastle played with urgency, knowing only a win would save them. PSG, not sure whether to go for it or play it safe, ended up stuck in the middle—never fully committing to either.
It didn’t start that way. Early on, Newcastle fans probably felt a familiar sinking feeling. VAR ruled Lewis Miley handled the ball in the box. It looked like ball-to-hand, honestly, and even more cruel since it bounced off Bradley Barcola’s arm first.
Didn’t matter, though—Nick Pope guessed right and saved Ousmane Dembele’s penalty. Relief, but only for a few minutes. Vitinha, who’s made a habit of tormenting English teams, smashed one in soon after.
At that point, it looked like PSG would just steamroll Newcastle and lock up their top-eight spot.
But Newcastle hung in there. They survived those early blows and started to grow into the match. PSG slowed things down, maybe too much, and Newcastle found their rhythm. The equaliser came right before halftime: PSG’s defence couldn’t handle Dan Burn (and his somehow memorable eyebrows) or Joe Willock, who nodded in the header to make it 1-1.
Later on, Eddie Howe rolled the dice. Sometimes it’s actually simpler when you know you have to win—no second-guessing if a draw is good enough.
By the time PSG realised they needed a goal, the switch was stuck. Newcastle smelt blood. Anthony Gordon came off the bench and absolutely tormented Marquinhos, sprinting down the wing again and again.
Harvey Barnes had the golden chance that Gordon created, sliced it wide, and got flagged offside. But replays showed if he’d scored, VAR would’ve given the goal.
It was entertaining, no doubt. But results elsewhere meant a draw was useless for both teams.
So PSG finish 11th, and Newcastle 12th. They end up in the same playoff section, both set to face either Monaco or Qarabag for a shot at Chelsea or Barcelona in the last 16.
The play-off draw happens in Nyon on Friday.
LEAGUE UPDATE: MAN UNITED’S CHAMPIONS LEAGUE HOPES BOOSTED BY COEFFICIENT POINTS SURGE
Manchester United move into fourth place as England's dominant UEFA coefficient makes a fifth Champions League spot almost certain.
Manchester United just got a real shot in the arm for their Champions League hopes this season. After knocking off Manchester City and Arsenal in back-to-back games, they’ve climbed into fourth place in the Premier League. It’s been a struggle for United to make the Champions League in recent years—their last run was in the 2023/24 season.
These days, finishing in the top four isn’t always enough for Premier League teams. UEFA now hands out extra spots, and it all depends on how clubs from each country perform across the Champions League, Europa League, and Conference League.
So, how does it work? UEFA takes each league’s overall coefficient score—basically, a measure of how well their teams do in Europe—and divides it by the number of clubs they have in these competitions.
This season, Arsenal, Liverpool, Tottenham, Chelsea, Manchester City, and Newcastle all joined the European fight. Out of those six, only Newcastle had to go through the play-offs; the rest sailed straight into the knockouts.
Now that the Champions League group stage is done, you can really see which countries are in line for those bonus spots next year. Right now, England is out in front with 180,625 points. Germany follows with 107,000. Portugal sits in third with 14,700, and Spain is just behind on 14,375.
Here’s the key thing: the two countries whose teams rack up the best results across all three competitions this season each get a European Performance Spot—an extra Champions League place.
With England leading the pack, even a fifth-place finish in the Premier League could send United back into the Champions League instead of the Europa League. Newcastle took advantage of this last season.
If United hold onto fourth, they’re in. But there’s still a lot of football left. Interim boss Michael Carrick isn’t letting anyone get ahead of themselves—he’s already told his players to stay sharp.
Next up, United face Fulham at Old Trafford. They'll be chasing a third straight win and looking to keep Carrick’s perfect record going since he stepped in for Darren Fletcher.
JUST IN: PEP GUARDIOLA THANKS JOSE MOURINHO AFTER WILD NIGHT OF EUROPEAN DRAMA
Pep Guardiola thanks Jose Mourinho as Benfica’s last-gasp winner against Real Madrid sends City straight into the Last-16.
Pep Guardiola had a smile on his face and a message for Jose Mourinho after his old rival did him a huge favour, helping Manchester City sneak into the Champions League knockout rounds.
City took care of their own business, beating Galatasaray 2-0 at the Etihad. Haaland and Cherki got the goals, but the real drama was happening elsewhere. City’s spot in the last eight still hung in the balance because Real Madrid needed to equalise against Benfica. If they had, Guardiola’s squad would have been bumped into the play-offs instead.
That’s when Benfica’s goalkeeper, Anatoliy Trubin, pulled off something wild. He left his box, charged forward for a late free kick, and scored a brilliant goal. Benfica won 4-2. That goal kept Benfica alive in the competition—and, as it turned out, saved City too.
Guardiola admitted he and his players were glued to the screen in the dressing room, completely confused when they saw Trubin running up for that last free kick. “We were all in there, watching, and none of us realised Benfica still needed a goal to qualify,” Guardiola said. “So when their keeper went up, we’re all thinking, ‘What are you doing?’ But Jose knew. It was a smart move. Finishing in the top eight, with how tough the Champions League has become, feels really good for us. Now we can focus on being at our best by March.”
Bernardo Silva didn’t hide how relieved he felt. Skipping those extra play-off games really matters, especially when you’re chasing a quadruple. “A bit of drama, but we did it. We’re very happy because we avoid two more matches,” he said. “With all the injuries we’ve got and the crazy schedule, having those two weeks free to rest, get players back, and focus on the other competitions is huge for us.”
As for Mourinho, he looked proud after Benfica’s wild finish. He’s won this tournament twice before, and he believed his side deserved to stay in. “That was a fantastic goal, a historic moment—almost blew the roof off the stadium,” Mourinho said. “Honestly, for Benfica to beat Real Madrid, that’s massive.”
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